Tipping Points: Fundamentals and Applications

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Tipping Points: Fundamentals and Applications

 09 - 13 Sep 2013

ICMS, 15 South College Street Edinburgh

Scientific Organisers:

  • Marian Gidea, Yeshiva University
  • Jan Sieber, University of Exeter
  • Mary Silber, Northwestern University
  • Sebastian Wieczorek, University of Exeter

About:

This workshop brought together mathematicians and statisticians, whose research expertise is relevant to investigating threshold behaviour in complex environmental systems, with the climate scientists and ecologists who exploit mathematical modelling in their research on tipping phenomena.

Speakers:

  • Chris Jones, University of North Carolina - Who, or What, Will Tip the Big Climate Models?

  • Henk Dijkstra, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Complex Networks: A Useful Tool to Detect Climate Transitions? 

  • Peter Cox, University of Exeter - Estimating Climate System Sensitivities from Temporal Variability

  • Valerio Lucarini, University of Hamburg - On the Use of Extreme Value Theory for Detecting Global Stability Thresholds in Multi-Stable Systems: the Case of Transitional Plane Couette Flow 

  • Raymond Pierrehumbert, University of Chicago - Bifurcation and Climate Sensitivity 

  • Didier Sornette, ETH - Intermittent Criticality in Financial Markets High Frequency Trading to Large-Scale Bubbles and Crashes

  • Alan Hastings, University of California - Multiple Stable Points, Tipping Points, and Warning Signs in Ecological Systems

  • J Marty Anderies, Arizona State University - Exploring Tipping Points and Planetary Boundaries with a Stylised Earth System Model

  • Anna Maria Cherubini, Università del Salento - A Study on Early Warning Signals for Desertification

  • Robert S MacKay, University of Warwick - Tipping Points and Nudges in Complex Systems

  • Rachel Kuske, University of British Columbia - Dynamical Transitions in Stochastic Models

  • Michael Goldstein, Durham University - Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis for Complex Physical Systems Modelled by Computer Simulators, with Applications to Tipping Points

  • Cees G H Diks, University of Amsterdam - Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions in Finance

  • Thai Son Doan, Imperial College London - The Dichotomy Spectrum for Random Dynamical Systems and Pitchfork Bifurcations with Additive Noise

  • Chris Budd, University of Bath - Tipping Points and Power Cuts & Why Do Things Sometimes Change so Fast? Tipping Points in Life and Nature

  • Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria - A Coarse-Grained Stochastic Multi-Type Particle Interacting Model for Tropical Climate Simulations

  • Peter Challenor, University of Exeter - A Statistical Approach to the Forecasting of Tipping Points

  • Barbara Gentz, University of Bielefeld - Noise-Induced Passage Through an Unstable Periodic Orbit

  • Peter Ashwin, University of Exeter - Tipping Points and Bifurcations – Some Examples and Questions

  • Jens Rademacher, University of Bremen - Billiard in Stability Regions of Patterns 

  • Peter Ditlevsen, University of Copenhagen - Predictability, Waiting Times and Tipping Points in the Climate

  • Claudie Beaulieu, University of Southampton - Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: Sense, Sensitivity and Specificity

  • Frank Kwasniok, University of Exeter - Predicting Critical Transitions from Time Series Using Non-Stationary Modelling

  • Christian Kuehn, TU Vienna - Some New Frontiers in Mathematical Tipping Point Theory